January 2008 Archives

ML Peterson V the Stricklands?

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I got an e-mail about a looming show down between ML Peterson and other members of the Ventura County Board of Education over the issue of hiring lobbyists to represent their policy goals.

Read the e-mail for the perspective from ML Peterson.

I have not investigated all the competing claims in the story. I look forward to the Star assigning someone to sort out the details and either prove something wrong is happening or clear Audra and Tony of any wrong doing.

Barack Obama for Ventura County

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Barack Obama supporters have launched a myspace page to reach out in the last week before California's primary. Maybe the official campaign will contact them to see how they can help?

What has your campaign done to organize Ventura County?

What campaign has been calling you?

Someone I know that is on a list serve for a church was contacted to line up to support Mitt Romney. Have you heard stories like this one?
( Clarification: No where did I say this was wrong. If it was from the pulpit I would be offended, but church members e-mailing other church members seems to me people of a like mind promoting their values)

Owen Paun is back in town for the moment and I look forward to chatting with him about his adventures. Owen, I must say you left town when McCain was almost written off as a loser and you come back with your candidate as the national front runner. You must feel like a champion. What are your next plans? Are you going to be here through next Tuesday?

America should lead

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An oil rich Arab nation is investing in solar technology and attempting to build a zero carbon city.

How is it that the world's producers of oil admit that global warming is real and human caused but a few of our leaders still do not?
( For the record the Bush Administration believes global warming is real and human caused. They just haven't taken a bold stand on what to do about it.)

I am proud that California is trying to lead the way even though Bush's EPA keeps trying to stop us.

But what about local officials? Do they believe it is real and human caused? Who do they think should take the lead in fighting against it? Local governments, the state, the federal government, or the global community? What about the role of individuals or the free markets?

Please contact them and post their response here.

I will start with Peter Foy. He has already expressed skepticism that the world is heating up although he has agreed to some environmental goals at the county level.

Kieth Millhouse, Moorpark City Council Member has taken a personal approach to the issue. Click here to read more.

Barbra Williamson, I will cut you a deal. If you bring up global warming at the next council meeting I will remove the Barack Obama song from the front page. Deal? But first where do you stand?

Mike Osbourn is the head of the Ventura County Republicans. I am curious as to where he stands as he is a bit of a maverick on some issues. Mike, what do you believe? Do you agree with W. and Arnold?

Click on continue reading for a partial list of elected officials and their contact information. If they respond by e-mail please post their full e-mail.

For those that don't think we can rise to the challenge...

Yes we can.

Florida Predictions and debate recap

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( Did McCain pay Delay to attack him? I don't think most Republicans like Delay. They might like McCain's policies but they usually admire the man.)

I watched the debates tonight and I have a few quick observations.

1. Rudy Giuliani has no momentum. He didn't make any new points, he drew no attacks ( a sign that he isn't worth it), and he drew no important distinctions. On National Security what exactly does he have over McCain? I know he says the world wavered but I don't remember McCain wavering.

2. Mitt Romeny seemed more friendly in the debate. He isn't in attack mode anymore. None of them seem to be. It almost seems like they don't want to risk anything. That makes sense for the top two candidates but not the others.

3. McCain did make a mistake by questioning a quote that was attributed to him. Did he think MSNBC made it up?

4. If the election was held today Romney edges out McCain and Huckebee/Giuliani beg to be put on the ticket.

5. I expect Giuliani to be the next to drop out. Within a week if he gets fourth in Florida. He is fighting for many of the same votes as McCain. The same goes for Huckabee and Romney. If Giuliani gets fourth McCain wins. If Huckbee gets fourth Romney wins.

6. According to the results of the MSNBC Text poll Mitt Romney won the debate with about 41% to Ron Paul's 40%. I could have the numbers slightly off but the other candidates were in single digits. This is clearly not a scientific poll but it does say which candidate has the most fervent support.

7. McCain is my favorite Republican which means Republicans will vote against him if history repeats itself.

8. Huckabee has a great stage presence. He is quick witted and connects with the common person's frustrations.

So, what are your predictions for Florida?

Mike Huckabee goes negative?

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First Mike Huckabee's de facto VP candidate Chuck Norris calls John McCain too old and adds that he might not live very long.

I beat his North Vietnamese captors thought the same thing.

Then Mike Huckabee tries and fails to round up the pro-secession vote by bringing up a settled issue over the Confederate Battle Flag ( if you don't know the difference read this Christopher Hitchens article that will be sure to add fuel to the fire) in a blatant appeal to divide people.

Oh, I almost forgot his "this is the negative ad I am not running stunt".
( turns out he was actually running the ad.)

Is it time to put him up there with Romney for the award as running the most negative campaigns?

Many people will point out that other candidates hit hard too. I agree, but the difference is that Mike Huckabee claims he isn't like the rest of them.

John McCain looks older than his age partially because of serious injuries he obtained fighting for our nation. To attack him for his age seems crass. It would have been better to have him as president when he was eight years younger but we got W. instead. Voters will judge if they seem his as fit for the job but raising it as an issue should be above Huckabee's campaign.

I don't see a realistic path to the nomination for Huckabee. John McCain's best hope is that conservatives don't stop him by rallying around one candidate like Mitt Romney. it would almost seem like Thompson and Huckabee are supporting McCain. Do any of you see a way Huckabee pulls this out?

I think the race is now between John McCain, Mitt Romney, and to a lesser degree Rudy Giuliani ( losing delegate race to Ron Paul).

Do you think it is time we start calling Mitt Romney ( most delegates) and John McCain ( higher in polls) front runners? They need to have a battle of ideas for the future of the country without the distractions of marginal candidates.

Ron Paul wins VCRCC online poll?

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( Have a better line? Leave it in the comments.)

The Ventura County Republican Central Committee has an online poll for the Republican nomination.

So far Ron Paul is winning in a landslide.

UPDATE: It is now really close between Rudy Giuliani and Ron Paul.

Go vote.


Another update. Last time I checked Ron Paul was winning. But today the poll question has been changed. So, until they issue a correction, I am going to assume Ron Paul won.

Native American Gaming Expansion

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( Got a better line for Arnold? Leave it in the comments. The funniest line will replace the current quote. Keep it about the propositions if you can.)

I read through much of the ballot summaries but I haven't finalized my choice on Propositions 94,95,96, and 97. Together they are known as the Indian Gaming Initiatives.

In short they would allow some tribes to expand their operations while paying more taxes then they currently do. Some sides argue about how much these funds will really be and who will calculate them.

One way I make my choice is by looking at who is in support and who is against a proposal. But there are people I trust and don't trust on both sides of this one.

So, how are you voting? What made up your mind?

If you are in favor of expanding gaming would you like a casino in your town one day?

Click here for a website in favor of the proposals.

and

Click here for a website against the proposals.

Click on continue reading to see the letter to the editor written by Simi Valley City Council Member Glen Becerra.

Since Glen Becerra doesn't mind letting us know how he feels about this issue I wonder if he is willing to endorse a Republican candidate while it is still important.

Barbra Williamson, do you still like Huckabee or Giuliani?

I think McCain is more your style.

South Carolina and Nevada results

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( I chose this young whipper snapper for Mongo and Bubba who appreciate pictures from the candidates when they were younger.)

Now that the results from Nevada and South Carolina are coming in who are the big winners for today? I think Romney is because with Thompson gone conservative support might swing his way. But I don't really know the mind of Thompson supporters.

But back to Gallegly. Who will Gallegly endorse? I still think he should support McCain.

You can read Owen's final thoughts on South Carolina by clicking on continue reading.

Owen, any thoughts on Nevada? Why did Mitt win with such a commanding lead?

Predictions game

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Barack Obama Logo

Put down your predictions for this Saturday's elections.

I predict Barack Obama wins in Nevada and the Republican primary in South Carolina will be really close between Huckabee and McCain.

For the Republican Nevada caucus Romeny will win and Ron Paul will do better than expected.

In other news, The Star has more elections coverage here. I even have a new plug on the front page of the section.

But to show this isn't only about me check out some other decent blogs here and here.

Timm Herdt's blog has some great recent entries on the youth vote and on Democratic delegate selection.

Mitt Romney VS Lobbyists?

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I bet most reporters just about snap at all the falsehoods they hear on the average day on a campaign and will be cheering for this guy even though he might be looking for a job...

Who is right? Romney or the reporter?

Rudy losing in NEW YORK

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UPDATE: Giuliani in third in Florida and losing to McCain in New York. Unless there is an anti-McCain movement that comes together to support Mitt Romney ( or Huckabee but I don't see that as nearly as likely) I think the race for the nomination is over. It is amazing how long people pretended Rudy had a shot even after Ron Paul starting beating him.

So far the two biggest anti-McCain forces are Tom Delay and Rush Limbaugh. Not big influences in California.

Remember the polls showing Rudy as a national front runner and the best Republican to take on Hillary Clinton? Those days are long past as Rudy takes hit after hit and loss after loss. When he loses Florida will he drop out? Is he really running for VP?

Now that Rudy Giuliani has had one of the fastest free falls in modern American history who will local Republicans be supporting next?

I say John McCain even though he clearly was never their first choice.

He went from front runner to second tier candidate in weeks. He said he wasn't running in New Hampshire but still spent millions there on a major defeat. Ron Paul has been thumping him. Ron Paul has a better claim to be allowed in debates then Rudy does ( more money + higher results in primaries ).

Him, Fred Thompson, and Duncan Hunter should form a club.

If I am wrong how does he come back? If I am too hard on the guy what can he do at this point to have a shot?

Hillary @ CSUN

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This THURSDAY. For details click on continue reading.

I am interested in the endorsement game. Democrats have a strong field but Republicans seem to be staying neutral. Why?

Any word on who Elton Gallegly supports? Is he as unsatisfied with the field as many Republicans?

Brad Sherman has endorsed a candidate already. I find it odd Gallegly hasn't supported McCain even though McCain helped him back in 2000. Elton, don't you owe him? He let you send out a mailer with him bragging about your virtues. I don't remember Bush doing that or maybe you didn't want to have his name on your mailer in a general election?

Endorse McCain now when he needs you most. Show some leadership.

Conejo Valley closing schools?

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Looks like Conejo Valley will be closing some schools. Is the board united going forward or is this going to be yet another issue between different factions of the board.

It seems strange even as city's grow that schools are closing. What will happen to the closed schools? I have seen some schools rented out but it seems like they fall into disrepair as no one entity keeps everything up anymore.

Will any teachers be let go? How is that chosen? Is it quality or time on the job? Golden hand shakes?

Good Luck not getting a mob to charge a school board meeting and with the school board working together.

Keith Richman?

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What have you heard. E-mail it in or leave a message.

Off topic.

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Post your geography IQ. I earned 112 on my first try.

Barack Obama for Simi Valley

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Barack Obama is using many new tools to organize supporters. I didn't know the time of tonight's debates until Barack Obama's campaign sent me a text. They also have a look up feature to see local events. There are tons of local events with more being scheduled.

So, what is your candidate or cause doing to reach out to people in new ways?







Owen Paun in Michigan

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Owen e-mailed this in earlier today...

Just got back from the McCain-Lieberman town hall in Ann Arbor. I'm heading over now to the call center to make some last minute get out the vote calls. This election is up in the air, it's anybody's guess. The polls are neck and neck, and there are some spoilers that make it hard to predict. First, they estimate that independents and Democrats will break to McCain. They question is, in what numbers? Second, a lot of absentee ballots were cast early, including before McCain's victory in New Hampshire. Some people are estimating that Romney outnumbers McCain 3 to 1 in those. We can't know the answer to those two questions, and in such a tight race it matters.

This state is much more important for Romney than for us. Just like New Hampshire was a must win for us, Michigan is a must win for Romney. If he loses here, he's pretty much out of the running. It's his last stand, his home state, and he has an important connection through his dad, who was governor. We have been moving up in the polls all over the country, we're in the lead in important states like South Carolina, Florida, California, and we're a large first in the national polls. A win here would just about seal the deal, but we can still be very competitive in South Carolina and Florida without it.

McCain has done some great campaigning to large crowds these last few days, and I'm confident that we have a chance to win. We'll see tonight.

Owen in Michigan

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Owen Paun, my traveling McCain correspondent is now in Michigan. If you have comments for him get them in quick before he is on a blitz for the final few hours.

Owen, is the word about Democrats "endorsing" Mitt Romney getting out?

My second question is about this infamous/famous hug photo. In the current political climate does it help or hurt McCain? ( For the record one reason the hug looks awkward is because McCain has injuries from his service in Vietnam)

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Landfill Task Force Update

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Look, let's be honest. Maybe 1 percent of the public about is going to read through and critically discuss documents like these provided to me by Barbra Williamson. Maybe if the task force gave away free ipods that would change. But until then good job on trying to bring more information to the debate.


Barbra Williamson's Task Force recently submitted a list of specific questions they want addressed in regards to the proposed expansion of the Simi Valley Landfill. Click on continue reading to look through them.

Rudy signs available locally

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( Rudy Giuliani kind of likes Ronald Reagan)

The local Rudy Giuliani campaign now has campaign signs available and has ongoing phone banks.

Simi Valley Gun Club

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Found this on youtube under Simi valley gun club.

Thank You

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A loyal reader sent in this idea that we should share. Make a link and e-mail it to your friends and family.

Upcoming Mary Pallant events

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Mary Pallant ( candidate for the Democratic nomination for CA-24, currently Gallegly) has several upcoming events. Click on continue reading for the list.

Barack Obama event in Simi Valley

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Barack Obama's campaign is hosting a training event in Simi Valley on Jan. 12. For more information click on continue reading.

I am encouraged that his campaign is organizing local supporters. Keep sending in things like photos, events, and news about your efforts.

Get paid to register voters

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cartoon20080106.jpg ( From Horsey)

The job is for Los Angeles County but I figured it might help somebody. Click on continue reading for details. It looks like it might appeal to young people trying to get into the field of political work.

Jackson VS Strickland

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Jim Dantona has announced he is not running for the state senate ( CA-10, currently in McClintock ) in the democratic primary against Hannah Beth Jackson. ( Link is to her old website as she hasn't made a myspace or campaign website yet.)

Looks like both parties have cleared the field for the general election.

In related news I received a Proposition 93 mailer today.

Predicitons for New Hampshire

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( If you don't want to make predictions you can suggest better captions for the picture.)

What are your thoughts on Tuesday's primary in New Hampshire? Before you guess here are some new polls with good news for supporters of Barack Obama, Ron Paul, and a few others.

In related news Mitt Romney practically sweeps the Wyoming caucuses. But nobody seems to be noticing.

For Owen Paun fans I spoke with him briefly on election night and he told me as of then he was planning to travel to Michigan next. I will post his updates when he settles in.

Simi Valley Democratc Club electing new officers

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The title pretty much says it all, but the Simi Valley Democratic Club is electing new officers . This is your chance to get involved.

Does anyone know if the party be hosting a forum for the State Senate race or the upcoming ballot propositions?

In related news Democrats are on track to out rank Republicans in Ventura County Voter Registration.

Click on continue reading for meeting dates.

Democrats to host training session.

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Democrats who would like to get involved in their party more are invited to a training session.

Topics include technology, club finances, and the party structure.

Click on continue reading for details.

Brian Dennert here

This blog is devoted to the nuts and bolts of local politics.

Have some political Info you want released? Let me know! I want to publicize fundraisers, parties, Web sites, meetup.com events and anything else happening in Ventura County. So, send them to briandennert@yahoo.com.

  • Katie TEague: We are getting lots of quality newcomings on the VC read more
  • Barbra Williamson: I am so glad there will not be a coronation read more
  • The Real Slim Shady: Actually, every post in this thread is by me. I read more
  • Nobody: Of course President Obama UNDERPERFORMED in the 24th district. He read more
  • NostraDemus: Nobody: The Democrats will have a Herculean task in gaining read more
  • Nobody: The questions just get tougher from here so save your read more
  • Brian: DF, Thanks for reading and commenting on my blog. It read more
  • RR: Go ask your friends, neighbors, and coworkers who they voted read more
  • NostraDemus: RR: The assertion you state in your first sentence is read more
  • RR: I understand there are some votes we are proud of read more