By Brian Dennert on February 14, 2012 6:59 PM
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Republican Cameron Smyth won't be running against Democrat Fran Pavley for the State Senate seat. Republicans don't yet have a declared candidate.
Cameron Smyth could have been a formidable candidate. He has earned a reputation as a bipartisan moderate and has experience as a State Assembly Member.
Who would you like to see run? I posted in an earlier blog entry that Simi Valley Republican Glen Becerra mentioned he was considering running for Congress. Now that there isn't a Republican candidate for this State Senate seat do you think he should consider running?
Does he really want to spend the next few years arguing with Mayor Bob Huber at city council meetings?
There aren't opportunities like this too often. If he intends to run for a legislative seat this could be a decent opportunity.
Here is a repost of a poll from that earlier entry:
There is a State Assembly race that involves two influential Republicans from Santa Clarita. Scott Wilk and Patricia McKeon both have support from Republican Party activists. The district leans Republican but I expect moderate Democrat Edward Headington to make the top two.
Republicans don't have a declared candidate for the State Senate seat yet but many people think Cameron Smyth will declare soon. Democrats have incumbent State Senator Fran Pavley running and she will be campaigning in Simi Valley soon.
A small part of Simi Valley is in the Ventura based Congressional district that has many strong candidates running for it including Steve Bennett, Tony Strickland, David cruz Thayne, David Pollock, and Linda Parks.
I wonder if Glen Becerra might consider running for any one of these positions.
House 26th:
I doubt he would run against Tony Strickland. Tony Strickland has quickly united the Republican Party behind him.
House 25th:
Buck McKeon will be weakened from attacks on paying his wife to run work on his campaigns and benefiting from the Countrywide VIP Home Loan program. The attacks on Patricia McKeon from her opponents will hurt Buck McKeon. Could Glen Becerra be tempted to run for what is considered a safe Republican seat because of the growing charges against Buck McKeon and Patricia McKeon from their opponents?
State Senate 27th District:
If Cameron Smyth runs I don't think Glen Becerra would challenge him. Smyth hasn't declared his intentions. I assumed he was going to run but I am not so sure. Cameron Smyth is holding a fundraiser for State Assembly candidate Scott Wilk. That might be a sign that he isn't worried about upsetting special interest groups that are supporting Patricia McKeon. Now that it looks like State Senator Fran Pavley will be the only Democrat running Republicans will consider that challenging her is going to tougher. Fran Pavely is popular with Democratic activists and she has the ability to raise money. She has represented much of the area and was a popular teacher in Moorpark.
Assembly District 38:
If Glen Becerra ran for the State Assembly seat he could have had a decent chance. With the two Santa Clarita based Republicans dividing support from that area he could have joined the Democrat in the top two based on his base of support in Simi Valley. He has already endorsed Scott Wilk though so that would be pretty surprising. Claiming the endorsement of your opponent would make a great mailer. He isn't going to run against Scott Wilk.
Glen Becerra has won four elections to the Simi Valley City Council, including his first when he beat a more conservative incumbent.
The deadline to file is in March. He might not see opportunities like this again for a long time.
Popular Democratic State Senator Fran Pavley has an upcoming campaign event in Simi Valley. Here is the announcement:
Please join hosts
Rob Collins, Arleigh Kidd Donna Prenta and the Working Blue Democratic Club
For a Meet and Greet with
State Senator
Fran Pavley
Thursday, February 9th
6pm - 8pm
At Simi Sams Sandwich Factory
2139 Tapo Street
Simi Valley, CA 93063
Fran Pavley is running for re-election for State Senate in the newly created 27th Senate District, which will include Simi Valley in 2012!
Come meet Fran and learn about her stance on important issues including investing in education, educating students in the 21st century economy and keeping our communities safe.
To RSVP or if you have any questions, please contact Catherine or Adrianna at RSVP4Fran@yahoo.com or call.
Fran Pavely doesn't have an announced opponent yet but many people expect termed out State Assembly Member Cameron Smyth to run. She might also have a fellow Democrat running. Former Assembly Speaker Bob Hertzberg would make for a very tough competitor for Smyth or Pavley.
Fran Pavley is popular with grassroots activists in the Democratic Party. She is the author of the state's landmark climate change bill. She is also a former teacher from Moorpark which explains how she has early support from two former teachers on the Simi Valley School Board.
State Senator Fran Pavley is helping a new group of women supporting women involved in politics. She is speaking at the official launch of their group. They plan to be influential by endorsing candidates and helping them with their campaigns. Click on continue reading for more details.
On a related note I don't like when politicians add gender to their title. It is cumbersome and doesn't reflect the office they were elected to hold. It also defines the norm for the position in a gender specific way.
It is a group of Assembly Members, not Assemblymen and Assemblywomen. They didn't get elected to the position of Assembly Man.
We call our law enforcement officers by the respectful term of Police Officer. We no longer use the term fireman as often as we use the term Firefighter.
The expectations we impress on young children includes the language we use to describe roles in society.
I don't want young girls limiting themselves because they don't envision someone that is like them being a leader.
If you don't agree with me please start adding gender in useless ways to all sorts of occupations. Start with bloggerman, bankerwoman, Senator Man, Marine Woman, Pilot Man, Computer Woman, Doctor Man and Chef Man to start. Feel free to add your on.
This blog is devoted to the nuts and bolts of local politics.
Have some political Info you want released? Let me know! I want to publicize fundraisers, parties, Web sites, meetup.com events and anything else happening in Ventura County. So, send them to briandennert@yahoo.com.