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Guest Blog Entry: My Take on the Presidential Address By Michael Gillooly

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This is the full video of the speech:

Guest Blog Entry: My Take on the Presidential Address By Michael Gillooly

So I just watched Obama's address to Congress on the issue of health care reform, and I thought I'd throw my hat into the ring on the topics of the speech, it's effectiveness, and health care reform in general. This isn't meant to be a polished essay or a complete analysis by any means, only my reaction to one of the most important moments in Obama's young presidency and in the history of health care reform. I took a few pages of notes during the speech, so I think my summaries are fairly accurate. Also, I don't mean to dumb down the issues at all by providing pretty straightforward, perhaps inadequately supported commentary, but for the sake of time, and the realization that my opinion is marginally important, here goes. My goal in writing this is mainly to share my thoughts on the speech, and hear from others who've heard it. If you've watched the full speech, please feel free to comment- even if you think I'm completely wrong.

First off, I thought the President gave a fair and non-partisan summary of the problems we face in the current health care system. These issues of course include skyrocketing cost of coverage, decreasing quality of care, and the number of Americans being dropped from their coverage daily- I won't waste time detailing these issues, since they are thrown around pretty frequently, and are agreed upon by both Democrats and Republicans. Therefore, President Obama successfully articulated the clear and present need for health care reform of some sort in the US. We can not continue to do nothing.

Next, I thought Obama did a decent job emphasizing aspects of health care reform that are supported bipartisan. He mentioned previous attempts by members from both sides of the ideological aisle(ie John McCain Hillary Clinton, and Chuck Grassley's contributions, etc.). It was also very smart to begin with aspects that are supported bipartisan, basically indicating that the issues that unite us are greater than those that divide us. The President subdivided these reforms into 3 groups who would be affected: people with insurance; people without insurance; and people without insurance by choice. To cherrypick a few of these reforms, Obama called for: continued consumer choice of health care insurers/providers; no denial of coverage based on pre-existing conditions; no rationing of care; and the "market exchange" concept. Again, I took a lot of notes on this part of the speech, but if you want to hear all the ideas stated you should probably just youtube the speech- there's no way I can summarize the President's speech better than he said it.

Here's the takeaway point, at least for me; the majority of the speech was spent outlining sensible, nonpartisan/bipartisan reforms that would drive down costs while increasing availability of coverage. Though more controversial aspects of reform(the public option) garnered murmurs and even boos, if you watch the video, there are many moments when the President received a standing ovation from congressional Republicans. I would argue that a major purpose of this speech was a call to action to members of Congress.

Obama also addressed a few of the controversies surrounding the health care debate. Being that the media focuses in on these controversies, I'm sure you've heard of them- death panels, health insurance to illegal immigrants, federal funding of abortions, and public option-caused government takeover of the private sector. Honestly, I didn't think he spent enough time addressing these concerns. While I don't believe most of them, a significant portion of Americans are legitimately afraid. I think the President could and should have done more to ease these fears(as evidenced when a GOP Representative from South Carolina shouted "it's a lie" at the President). Doing so may have lessened opposition across the country, and therefore better paved the road to reform..

Moving on to the public option, President Obama next attempted to explain the public option and how it would work. He claimed that a government-run insurance option would not derail the health insurance industry, but would force private companies to keep costs down in order to remain competitive. Also(and I didn't know this before), Obama cited a statistic that only about 5% of Americans would likely choose the public option. More importantly, he reminded the audience that a public option is not the cornerstone or driving force behind the reform movement, and should not be used as a wedge to change. I believe that if opposition to the public option strengthens, it will likely be dropped from the proposed legislation. Personally, I'm unsure of how I feel about the public option. Clearly, people have legitimate concerns regarding it, and I'll be the first to admit that I need to learn more about it before I form an opinion. Still, Obama was pretty successful in minimizing the perceived impact the public option would have on the US(as opposed to the destruction of liberty and a rapid descent into socialism).

And now, the question all of America has been asking- how do we pay for it?? Stating that the projected cost of reform would be $900 billion over the next 10 years, Obama pointed out that this would cost less than the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, as well as the Bush era tax cuts to the "wealthy." Put that way, and it doesn't seem like that much. But it's still 900 BILLION DOLLARS, an amount that can't even be fathomed, let alone dismissed. Obama claimed that this amount would be paid mainly by savings within the system decreases in waste(vague, I know), and keeping prices down through competition, fees to insurance companies for the most expensive practices, and efficiency in general. My hope is that specific, detailed areas of saving will be targeted and publicized over the coming weeks. Finally, Obama again stated that he would not sign a piece of legislation that would add a dime to the federal deficit; he believes that all future costs would be offset by a decrease in waste and fraud. Perhaps this is the "Read my lips, no new taxes" of Obama's presidency, but he was pretty clear. If he goes back on that, he can say goodbye to 2012. What I didn't know- Obama clearly said that the final legislation will include a provision that if health care adds to the deficit in any way, mandatory spending cuts in other areas of government expenditure would be enacted. I think that's a great idea.

I've heard a few people reject the President's address as typical empty words, devoid of legislative details and full of sh... something. Though I agree with them to some extent(on the lack of details), we have to consider that this address was not intended to completely and thoroughly explain the President' favored means of health care reform. Though some of us were left asking for clear policies, think about the millions of Americans who are less educated, less informed, or just plain less interested. This address was supposed to be a simple, utilitarian spark notes of health care reform, explained in terms easily understood by the common man. This address was basically meant to redefine the argument, to steer public discourse away from death panels and socialism/fascism and toward meaningful change. I truly believe that the President is reaching across the aisle, as shoving health care reform down America's throat without any Republican support would basically mean electoral death in both the midterms and a possible re-election bid. The reason he was scant on details is because the final legislation hasn't been written yet. He asked for input from all members of Congress, and he was very clear that he supports some Republican-favored ideas(ie tort reform). There's still time to have your voices heard, and frankly, I'd like to hear them.


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Democratic Labor Day Event: Pictures And Video

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I have more videos and pictures to post later this week. If you have videos of pictures from today you want posted send them to me.


Former State Assembly candidate Ferial Masry has news regarding her intentions:

Candidate for Sheriff Geoff Dean (R) worked the crowd. Here he is speaking to Ventura City Council Members Brian Brennan and Ed Summers. I expect Geoff Dean's list of endorsements will be updated with new bipartisan additions soon.

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I ran into a friend of this blog Denis O'Leary of Oxnard. Denis has been a long time activist for a variety of progressive causes.

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State Assembly candidate Susan Jordan gave a speech that outlined her life story and the causes she supports. Her opponent Das Williams was there too. I will post his picture later. Das, if you have pictures from today you want posted send them in.

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Here are a bunch of polls related to the labor day picnic and candidates that were there.


Click here for the news story from The Star.


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Rep. Gallegly Retirment Rumors From Politico.com

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(This map of the 24th congressional district is interactive. Click on it to explore the district.)


Politico.com recently reported on campaign fundraising and labeled him a retirement possibility because of his fundraising.


Another Republican considered a retirement possibility is Rep. Elton Gallegly (R-Calif.), who raised only $42,000 for the quarter -- a significant dropoff from the $115,000 he raised in the first quarter.

If Rep. Gallegly runs again he has more than $800,000 saved up to discourage challengers and to get his message out. The slower fundraising could be Gallegly not seeing the need to spend time and effort raising money unless until he sees a credible challenger. He is obviously favored to win if he runs, but what if he doesn't run?

Rep. Gallegly does appear to be at the end of a long career in politics. He has served as the Mayor of Simi Valley and was first elected to congress in 1986. The question to me is not if he retires but how soon he retires. If he retires this time I would assume the front runner for the seat would be State Senator Tony Strickland, who can run without resigning from his current position. But if he waits until 2012 to retire Strickland would either have to not run for re-election to the State Senate or forgo running for congress.

Add to that mix the new districts that will be drawn up for 2012 and there are many unknowns for this seat.

I expect Rep. Gallegly will run again but the rumors of his retirement draw such interest because an open seat in congress doesn't happen very often.

The polls below are clearly not scientific. Feel free to explain your votes in the comments section. You don't need to register to comment but please keep it classy.



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Moorpark City Council Candidate Nathan Sweet Wins Online Poll

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I am not making any claims that it will influence the vote on Tuesday but Firefighter Nathan Sweet has won my online poll of readers. As is 9PM the results:

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Thanks to all of those that voted. Moorpark has many fine candidates to choose from. I know Nathan Sweet and I think he would make a great addition to the Moorpark City Council.

When a vacancy was created on the Moorpark City Council the city could have appointed someone that would then run in the next election as an incumbent. Instead the scheduled an election that allows all candidates to run on a level playing field. It is to the credit of the rest of the city council that they found a way of including voters.

If other boards are in the same situation and want to avoid the cost of an election they could always appoint a place holder until the next election.

Good job Moorpark and good luck figuring our who to vote for on Tuesday!

Deputy Mayor Bill Fulton's Blog

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Ventura City Deputy Mayor Bill Fulton has updated his blog again, this time with a personal take on the impacts of the recession and budget cuts.

Here is a quote from Bill Fulton's blog:


The months ahead will not be easy. Starting tomorrow night (Monday), we on the City Council will start eliminating positions and possibly even laying people off. Over the next couple of months, we will be making even more severe cuts in city services - cuts that people will inevitably feel, even if we try to blunt the impact. We may well ask the voters for an increase in the sales tax. But even if it passes, that won't generate enough money to restore all the services we have now. So we will be faced with terrible choices. Do we want to lay off police officers in order to keep the libraries open? Shall we close the parks or stop paving the streets? Shut down a fire station or stop servicing our vehicles?

My friend Marie Lakin has been writing extensively on the budget cuts in Ventura's budget. Click here to see her blog.

Here are some other city themed blogs:

1. Click here for Ventura City Manager Rick Cole's blog.

2. Click here for Ventura City Attorney Ariel Pierre Calonne's blog.

3. Click here for Santa Paula City Manager Wally Bobkiewicz's blog. ( UPDATED W/ Mountain Lion information.)

4. Click here for Ventura City Council Member Bill Fulton's Planning and Development Blog and here for his city council blog.

Why is it that the City of Ventura has so many blogs written by city hall insiders? I am impressed with the effort to be transparent and accessible.

Simi Valley Radiation Rangers Update

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( Check out The Radiation Rangers on YouTube. I am not a marketing professional but something tells me that super hero uniforms might be needed to capture the attention of the public more.)


To the consternation of the Simi Valley Radiation Rangers the proposed project at Runkle Canyon, pejoratively named Runkledyne by critics, is coming closer to getting final approval. I wonder if the economic slow down will do more to delay the project than all of the recent hearings, meetings, and tests have done.

Local investigative environmental reporter Michael Collins isn't satisfied and continues to insist the project is unsafe and that the process of testing for unsafe chemicals has been riddled with errors.

Here is a quote from a recent article that appeared in the Ventura County Reporter:


Hirsch then zeroed in on Dade Moeller's radiation plan and on the controversial company itself, whose namesake testified back in the 1990s that money spent on cleaning up Cold War-era nuclear facilities was being wasted since there would be a cure for cancer.

Click here for the article printed in the Ventura County Reporter.

Click here for the EnviroReporter website.

Click here for the developer's Runkle Canyon website. Their website has a FAQ covering environmental safety, traffic, and a list of some of the prominent local charities they have supported.

Click here for the blogger Mike Chandler's aggressive defense of the Simi Valley City Council on this issue.

Click here for the Radiation Ranger's website.

Click here for the City of Simi Valley's website devoted to this development.

Before voting check out some of the links above. You can vote for as many as you want.

Budget Bill Passed

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The budget bill passed with the final vote being State Senator Abel Maldonado.

Click here for the story.

What will the consequences be for schools, the economy, other government programs and our elected officials?

Live Interview With Tom Campbell

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I will be interviewing Tom Campbell tonight starting at 6:15PM.

The interview is done. Click on continue reading to see Tom Campbell's answers to my questions. Leave a comment with your opinion on the issues I brought up, his answers, of the campaign for governor. We had originally scheduled this for another date, but something came up in Tom Campbell's schedule and he was able to do it tonight. I have a bunch of entries to catch up with but interviewing someone I admire took precedent.

I am not sure who I will support for governor in 2010. I would be inclined to support a Democrat but if none of them offer up a platform that addresses our current problems and is innovative in their solutions I might support Tom Campbell. His depth of understanding of the issues impresses me. But with so much time between now and the next election we have the luxury of sitting back and analyzing the arguments the candidates put forth.


Click here for his biography on Wikipedia.

Click here for his official website.

Tom and I will be posting on the comments section of this post. To follow along click on continue reading.

Tom, thanks for taking time out of your schedule to answer questions. I have admired your distinguished career and eclectic mix of policy views for years. Your background in law, economics, and as a legislator is a background I would welcome in a governor.

Your recent editorial in Reason Magazine triggered my request for this interview. Which brings me to my first questions:

What magazines, blogs, or radio shows do you follow?

What were some of the most recent books that you have read related to economics, politics, or history?

What authors or books created such an impression on you that you want to recommend them to younger people just starting to form their political ideology?



Local Blogs

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I have come across a few local blogs I wanted to share with you real quick:

1. Ventura City Manager Rick Cole's blog.

2. Ventura City Attorney Ariel Pierre Calonne's blog.

3. Santa Paula City Manager Wally Bobkiewicz's blog.

4. Ventura City Council Member Bill Fulton's Planning and Development Blog.

What local elected official or city staff would you like to write a blog to add transparency and insight into what they do would you like to read? If I get any serious nominations I will forward your ideas to them.

Timm Herdt on HBJ V TS

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( See the bottom of this vote for the update.)


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The Star's Timm Herdt had a short piece up about analyzing the election results between Hannah Beth Jackson and Tony Strickland.

Here is his analysis:

By Timm Herdt:

June 4, 2008
Jackson-Strickland: Not head-to-head, but...

In anticipation of the most competitive partisan political campaign Ventura County has seen in more than 20 years, partisans on both sides were watching Tuesday's results to see which of two unopposed candidates got the most votes.

It is a meaningless number, since at least two and a half times as many voters will participate in November's election as voted yesterday, but still... It's something to talk about.

So here's what happened:

Republican state Senate candidate Tony Strickland pulled in 50,756 votes.
Democratic state Senate candidate Hannah-Beth Jackson got 47,825.

Advantage Strickland?

Republican Central Committee Chairman Mike Osborn thinks so. "Last night sends a message," Osborn told me this afternoon. "Tony's showing yesterday is going to cut off some of the money Hannah-Beth was expecting."

What it shows is that turnout ran about according to registration, but -- as is typically the case in low-turnout elections, Republicans voted a little more reliably than Democrats. Republicans hold a 2 percentage-point edge in the district, and Strickland got about 3 percent more of the combined Republican and Democratic votes.

In November, there will be a lot more Republicans and Democrats casting ballots -- and a whole lot more independents.

"You saw her strong support, you saw our strong support," Osborn said. "I think my guy will win over more independents."

For comparison, consider that in 2004 -- a higher turnout primary -- 169,765 votes were cast in the district in June. That November -- likely a lower turnout general election that this year's will be -- 384,450 ballots were cast.

Before you comment you should know something. Timm is spelled with two M's. If you spell it wrong he gets angry. I spelled it wrong early in my blogging career and he broke my keyboard over his knee and threw it at an educator and an alternative energy executive.

For legal reasons I am required to tell you that was a joke. But really, it is two M's.

Timm, seriously why didn't you quote somebody from Hannah Beth Jackson's campaign? Did they not call you back before the deadline for the story?

I think the night shows an advantage to Tony Strickland but at this point he is the front runner. He is the strongest campaigner in this area. But I expect Hannah Beth Jackson is readying some great tactics. Her campaign includes veterans that have worked successfully to defeat him before.

What do you think? Should anything be read from the results?


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UPDATE: The Hannah Beth Jackson team has emailed me final numbers from Santa Barabra County and if these are the final numbers they have reason to celebrate.

Here is their email:

Santa Barbara just released its final vote tally which has increased my vote count in SB to 25870 to 18943 for Strickland.In other words, Hannah-Beth received 6927 more votes in SB than he did.... (previously the figure was just about a 6,000 differential.So the final tally (per the Secty of State's website this morning shows:

Strickland 53,655Jackson 51,513
Differential of only 2,142 or just about 1,000 less than the previous calculation......
You may want to update your post on the primary turnout.


Does this mean the people that made a point out of the primary results admit Hannah Beth Jackson has an advantage?

Same Sex Marriage Poll*

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( This video featuring John McCain talking about his support and then him clarifying his remarks doesn't fully explain his view. If you have a link to a concise and fair explanation of the candidates views please post it.)

The front page of The Star currently has an unscientific poll about Same Sex Marriage.

Here is the wording and the results last I checked:

Would you favor a state constitutional amendment that defines marriage as only involving a man and a woman?

Yes 42% 220 votes
No 57% 297 votes
517 total votes

Have you polled about any local or state politics in the past? I was once polled about Proposition 5 which expanded tribal gaming. I expressed my concern that it would cause a massive expansion of gaming in California, although I supported the tribes being able to life themselves up. The pollster said I didn't know what I was talking about.

Go vote and update us on the results!

If you want to write up a guest editorial about any local candidates positions on gay rights I will post it on the front page under your name. Leave a comment on who you are researching. It expect it will include your opinion but please also include facts, links, and a voting record.

Anyone want to research the following candidates and get back to us? Choose just one.

Hannah Beth Jackson
Elton Gallegly
Tony Strickland
Marta Jorgensen

And any others.

Brian Dennert here

This blog is dedicated to Ventura County politics. Send in ideas for posts to briandennert@gmail.com
Follow me on Twitter Twitter.com/dennert The Facebook page for this blog is facebook.com/briandennerthere You do not need to register to comment but keep it classy. Report abusive language to me at my email address.

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