I didn't want to write about the election results without
the benefit of perspective that comes once the event is in the past. Perhaps readers
will still find this too negative, but I can't see how the 2012 election was anything
but an unmitigated disaster for the up-to-now resurgent conservative movement
that was just halted in its tracks after three years of stunning successes.
Some of us are hoping that this was a routine political
setback and radio and TV waves are full of commentators trying to rally the defeated
troops for another gallant attack in 2016. But as General Pickett responded to
Robert E. Lee's order that he look after his shattered division: "General Lee,
I have no division!"
While I'm on the subject of suicidal Civil War charges,
another one springs to mind. In the movie Glory, Col. Robert Gould Shaw led a
ragtag group of unpopular soldiers in a direct assault on a heavily fortified
Confederate position. Shaw and his men courageously charged the fort, incurring
heavy casualties. Shaw himself was cut down at the foot of the wall, but some
of his men take up the flag, scale the walls, and rush into the breach, carried
forward by pure momentum--right in front of a cannon that is pointed right at
them. It fires, and the battle scene ends. We next see the bodies of the fallen
being unceremoniously dumped into a mass grave before the movie ends.
Let's examine our casualties.
Counting the dead
Mitt Romney was not Tuesday night's only casualty. Not only
did Republicans fail to capture the presidency, but we lost a chance to take
over the Senate. In fact, we suffered major reversals. We lost Senator Scott
Brown in Massachusetts. Rising star Mia Love is gone. Conservative
heavy hitter Allen West is still MIA. Democrats in California captured a supermajority in the
legislature, the first time in a century that's happened. The Tea Party tide
that was invincible in 2010 looked to be invisible in 2012. Locally, Ventura
County will now be represented in Congress by a Democrat for the first time in
70 years.
The seemingly impossible happened with ease for the other
side. Jesse Jackson, Jr., sitting in a mental hospital, was reelected
overwhelmingly. The despicable Alan Grayson is back, to literally add insult to
injury. Barack Obama somehow completely avoided the Benghazi scandal and bad economy and waltzed
to victory.
The most painful part of this is by all historical
standards, we should have won and we should have won big.
Why we should have
won
In any "normal" election, it would be insane to predict that
a president would be reelected:
- During
an economic downturn
- With
sky-high unemployment
- With
sky-high gas prices
- With a
Vice-President that makes verbal miscues on a near-daily basis
- With a
scandal worse than Watergate (Benghazi)
- With
both his domestic and foreign policy falling apart just weeks before the
election
Particularly when his opponent:
- Is a
solid campaigner
- Is one
of the cleanest men ever to run, with zero skeletons in his closet
- Is a
respected businessman with a reputation of turning around failing
organizations, which is seemingly tailor made to fix the problem we
currently are facing
- Was a
capable governor, with a history of working across the aisle
- Had
the best debate performance in the history of televised debates
- Has
centrist appeal
Well, I did. Back in 2011 I predicted that Mitt Romney would
be the Republican nominee and he would ultimately lose to Barack Obama, barring
some miracle, for a few reasons. Oh, for the record, for a few weeks I thought
that miracle might have occurred after his first debate performance and he
might pull this off. I was wrong, and should have listened to my gut from a
year earlier.
Why we were defeated
Let's be blunt. The main reason Romney lost is because half
the country is dim, ignorant, or corrupted. Anyone in their right mind should
have voted for this man, and I'm not saying it out of bitterness, ideology or partisanship.
Romney is a decent man who is a proven turnaround expert who
could have really fixed our economic problems. He was a right
leaning-centrist--not a "scary" right-winger. Even some liberal newspapers
endorsed him for president four years after endorsing Obama.
But all of his credentials are meaningless to the dim, the
ignorant, and the corrupted.
The dim are those that have the information to make
decisions, they just choose poorly because they lack reasoning abilities. They
vote on emotion and disregard facts that disagree with their hardened
positions. They honestly believe they are right and are usually
well-intentioned, but they are dead wrong.
The ignorant are those who simply choose not to arm
themselves with information. They have no idea about history, economics,
finance, geopolitics, government, or politics. They range from the completely
uninformed--your typical college student or American Idol watcher. Or, they may
be smart, engaged, and well read, but only on a narrow range of topics or ideas
(i.e., those ideas that they already agree with).
Then there are the corrupted. They are so committed
ideologically that they lose all sense of what is right and wrong, true and
false. They will say anything to get elected, they will cover up their own
party's shortcomings, and they will lie about the opposition without
compunction.
Generally speaking, we lost this election because the
corrupted led a successful coalition of the dim and ignorant. Obama's campaign
painted Romney, a good man, in a terribly inaccurate light. They stooped low
and brought Chicago
politics at its worst to the national stage. While they talked about Big Bird,
binders, and bayonets, Romney talked about real problems and real solutions.
As Rush Limbaugh put it, in a nation full of children, Santa
Claus wins. I also heard on the radio someone say that a parent that is strict
but does the right thing for his kids is always less popular to the children
than the one who gives them whatever they ask for, even though it might be bad
for them in the long run.
The creation of nation full of dependents has been in the
works for a hundred years. Progressives have taken over the schools, the
courts, the government and the media. People have no chance--they are
indoctrinated in school, indoctrinated by the movies and TV shows they watch
and the songs they listen to, by their unions, their friends, their newspapers
and their politicians. They've lost their ability to think or never learned how
in the first place.
How we were defeated
Back when I made my prediction a year ago that Romney would
win the primary, I did so in the jaded understanding that the political establishment
has rigged the game so that their guy will always win.
It's not like they are tearing up ballots or anything, but
in a game of inches those that really know the game, possess key advantages, and
know how to take advantage of them will almost always win.
Romney had zero grassroots support at that time. I viewed
him as a liberal Republican masquerading as a conservative for the primary.
There was really no such thing as a grassroots supporter who had signs on their
lawn for him in those days. After all, he used to be pro-choice and gave Massachusetts
Obamacare-lite. However, I also thought he had the best crossover appeal, which
would help him, and us, in the general election.
He won the primary, and I realize he wasn't so much a
moderate dressing up as a conservative as a conservative dressing up as a
moderate.
But, I thought he would lose to Obama. I based it upon these
reasons:
- He was
a solid but unspectacular candidate (i.e. he did not have mass appeal)
- Obama
would have a billion dollars to spend against him
- The
media would give Obama a billion dollars worth of free positive coverage
for him and free negative attacks against his opponent.
- If
Romney managed to get close, they would resort to Chicago-style dirty
tricks
What happened? Romney trudged along in a solid but
unspectacular fashion. He was attacked from all sides by a corrupt media that
ignored all of Obama's shortcomings and focused on meaningless things like he
put his dog in a kennel on the roof of his car thirty years ago.
When terrorists overran our consulate in Benghazi on the eleventh anniversary of 9/11
and killed our ambassador, the media covered for Obama. They even attacked
Romney for issuing a statement about it too soon. We have a case where an
ambassador was assassinated, the first to die in thirty years, and the
president openly lied about what happened. He told us that the attacks--which,
again, took place on SEPTEMBER 11TH, were merely a random riot over a video. The
agents on the ground begged for backup but they was denied and they were
killed, quite possibly from weapons we sold to the terrorists. Their parents
blamed Obama for their deaths, but while we heard about Cindy Sheehan for
who-knows-how-long, we heard nothing about these fathers and mothers. The New
York Times, which ran Abu-Ghraib on over 50 consecutive front pages, didn't
seem to care a lick about Benghazi.
CBS News sat on a video of Obama denying the attack was terror related and
quietly released it over the weekend before the election.
Instead, they attacked Romney.
Then there was the debate performance, which was the most
lopsided victory in the last century, if not in American history. Romney's
campaign had new life, and suddenly he pulled even with Obama.
But then, more dirty and petty tricks. Behind the scenes, the
Democrats were busing people into polling places, taking advantage of new early
voting rules. We heard about Big Bird, and bayonets, and binders. Things that
would only appeal to the dim and the ignorant. They tried anything to stop his
momentum.
But on the surface, it looked like he was on his way to
finally win. I started to believe that my prediction was wrong.
Then, the hurricane happened.
What we lost
It's easy to get lost in the daily drama of politics and
miss the big picture. Conservatives and Republicans are already looking ahead
to 2016, as if there is always another chance.
But if we step back and look at America on the civilization scale,
it's not so encouraging. It is said that those who don't know history are
doomed to repeat it. I've got news for you. Those that do know history are doomed to repeat it as well.
It's been understood since Plato's time that governments
follow a recurring pattern. First, there is anarchy. Out of anarchy rises a
strong man--a tribal leader, despot, or monarch. Over time, the aristocracy
gains in power relative to the monarch, and an oligarchy or aristocracy forms.
The wheel of history keeps turning, and the common citizens dilute power from
the aristocracy. That's when democracies form. But they are violent and short-lived,
inevitably resulting in anarchy, which starts the wheel all over again, since
out of the ashes of anarchy rise a dictator. Power is again concentrated into
the one, who gives way to the few, who give way to the many, who give it back
to the one.
The genius of our Constitution is that it doesn't try to
stop the wheel's inevitable rotation. It harnesses it and allows it to churn
between the one (the President), the few (the Senate), and the many (the
House). At certain times in American history, each section of government has
wielded more power than the others, but the wheel turns without threatening the
system as a whole.
Until now. We've become completely unmoored from that
framework. The Constitution has been under assault for a century. Americans can
perhaps be forgiven for not realizing that President Obama's election in 2008
signaled the beginning of the end for the Constitutional era in American
history, given the excitement over his candidacy. But that excuse didn't exist
in 2012. On November 6th, a majority of the country knowingly gave
its sanction to permanently untie this country from its charter document. We
moved from the safety of a constitutional republic to the danger of the next
phase of the wheel of history, like every other large civilization before us.
Some conservatives think there is still time to save the
country. They don't realize that this was our last chance. Demographics are
turning against us. The mass importation of illegal immigrants and their
children have changed the complexity of the nation. That in itself is not a bad
thing--we've always been a melting pot of cultures. However, while white people
had no problem voting for a nonwhite president, nonwhite people seem to have a
hard time voting for a white candidate.
In 2008, about half of white people voted for a black
president. Those that opposed him did so not on his race, but on his radical
left-wing ideology. However, blacks supported him nine to one. Hispanics two to
one. After four years of failed policies, whites turned away from him but
blacks and Hispanics barely flinched, showing that many of them clearly support
him because of the color of his skin.
Nonwhites will soon be the majority. And in elections where
a one percentage point increase in Democratic voters may net a candidate a 300
electoral-point victory, the fact that nonwhites, at least at this point, seem
to be susceptible to Democratic lies that all white conservatives are racists
and all nonwhite conservatives are "Uncle Toms," spells doom for traditional
conservatism.
But, even with the realization that the combined weight of
human nature and human history are against us, there was still room for hope,
and it rested with God.
I've probably written thousands of posts by now. I might
have mentioned God maybe one time, even though I'm religious. The reason for
that exclusion is that my mission was to persuade people with reason. Faith has
nothing to do with reason. By definition, it's employed only when reason does
not exist. Therefore, I determined that religious arguments for anything political
aren't persuasive to people who don't share my religious beliefs.
But, you might be sensing that this post is not meant to be
persuasive. It's a description on how we lost the country and why there is no
turning back. There is no need to attempt to convince the masses anymore to
turn away from this path, since that is now proven to be impossible.
During the last stage of the 2012 election, conservatives
had a good feeling. By some miracle, it started to look like God was
intervening on our behalf--on behalf of the United States, the country that
best embodied the Christian ethic. He blessed us in the past, and we became the
most powerful and most generous nation that ever existed, ushering in a Pax
Americana that benefited the entire world.
If enough of us got together and prayed and fasted, God
would save us from this social and economic descent. We could not turn back the
wheel of history, but He could--if He
wanted.
If a once-in-a-century freak superstorm hit 900 miles off
the eastern seaboard a week before the election and swept Mitt Romney into
office, we'd see it as divine intervention. How should we interpret it if it
swept Obama back into office?
During the first debate, Romney somehow made the sitting
president look less presidential than he did. That's what turned the tide in
his favor. He was on his way to win. The sudden ealization among Americans that
he would be a more effective commander-in-chief is what allowed Romney to catch
up to Obama. Obama looked petty, small, and weak. Overnight, people became more comfortable
with the thought of Romney in the Oval Office instead.
Then the hurricane hit. Obama was given a chance to show
that he too can look presidential. His biggest weakness was eliminated, and he
barely clung to victory.
Can you blame God for turning against us? We've turned
against Him. We've given up his gift of freedom for material goods. We've
systematically executed tens of millions of the most innocent among us. We're
worse than the Nazis.
We had a chance to prosper even though history, demographic
shifts, social shifts, human nature, and human history all spell our demise.
But we don't have any chance if we aren't on God's side.
Acceptance
There is peace in finally letting go. When a loved one is
dying from a long-term affliction, there is pain and sadness and struggle as
you hold out for some hope that they might be cured. When they finally die,
there is peace knowing that you did all you could and it's time to move on.
I am at peace.
Other conservatives are already looking toward the next
election. They are more torn up about Tuesday's election results than I am.
One fellow conservative told me I'm giving up.
That's not true. Just because I've lost hope of winning
doesn't mean I'm going to stop fighting. The prospect of winning is not a
prerequisite for doing what's right.
What now?
There is a debate on the Right about what to do now. Some
say we need to have more moderate candidates. What do you think Romney (and
McCain, and Bush, and Bush the Elder) were? Scott Brown was about as liberal as
a Republican could be and he still lost. Even as great as Reagan was,
everything he did was dismantled starting with the next president.
No, moderation is a waste of time. By adopting some
progressive policies it only gives the progressives a way to blame Republicans
for what went wrong. George W. Bush spent money like a progressive. Look at the
exit polls and see how many voters were still blaming Republicans for the
economic situation four years later.
Romney is the embodiment of everything the moderation
advocates always ask for--a good candidate, and someone who can work across the
aisle to get things done. Look where that got him. And if this election were
held in 2016 or beyond with the coming demographic shifts, he would have lost
in landslide.
I suspect the Republican establishment will see the writing
on the wall and attempt to sell out real republican principles for good.
The best thing to do is to be the alternative party. Not the
junior partner in a huge progressive government. Be outside the government. Be
ideologically pure. Let the Progressives continue to drive the country into the
toilet, all by their onesies. When the people have enough, they'll turn back to
us like the British did to Winston Churchill.
We are in exile. We've lost at the national, state, and even
the local level. Retreat back to your core principles. Turn back to faith. Stop
worrying about election results and temporal things. Focus on fundamentals. Get
your life in order. If you can't govern yourself, how can you criticize those
that govern you? Get your family in order. After all, the family is the first
form of government. Our political future is with our children and their
children. We probably won't see traditional conservatism rise again in our
lifetimes. Our children might. Make sure you teach them how to think
independently. Expose them to Christianity. The rest will fall into place in
their lives, or their childrens' lives. Keep a record of these times and make
sure the philosophy of our Founders gets passed to them, so that when they are
ready they'll have a blueprint of how to rebuild America.
The title of this post is Aftermath. No, that doesn't mean
mathematics that is done after an event, although that's what people understand
it to mean now. Aftermath is grass that grows after blades from earlier in the
season are cut down--aftermath is the next generation.
Of course, if the progressives get what they want unopposed,
we may lose the freedom to take the country back, even if we raise new
generations of patriots. By then, hopefully enough of them will be back on
God's side. And don't forget the Platonic Wheel of History will always keep
turning, and thought despots will gain power they'll eventually lose it to the few and to the many.
We'll be ready.
As for this blog, it now ceases to be a vehicle for
persuasion. It will now be a living history--a witness to the transition of America into its "Late Republic"
phase, to be preserved for my children and grandchildren, like a public
journal. Perhaps it will be inconvenient for those in power and I'll be
attacked even more, or my writings will not be allowed on certain publications.
No, I'm not giving up. I'll find strength in the fact that
when someone attacks a man unjustly, he creates friends for him. I'll find
comfort knowing that if my children see me struck down for doing what's right,
they'll be lifelong recruits to the cause of freedom.
Perhaps there is hope after all...