Phi Beta Kerry Checking out

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Phi Beta Kerry

Checking out the presidential polls on a daily basis can drive a political junkie nuts. But if you're looking for something a little more satisfying than a hot tip on who's going to win next Tuesday, there is the occasional nugget to be found.

One is at Democracy Corps, the outfit headed by former Clinton polling guru Stanley Greenberg.

Greenberg says surprise that the political press is missing the story of this presidential election. While it is focusing on the diminishment of the Gender Gap, reporting that women are more likely to support George Bush this time around than in 2000, it is missing the emergence of a new gap just as large -- the Education Gap.

Among voters with college and advanced degrees, the Democracy Corps polling shows John Kerry with a 10-point lead. Among voters whose highest educational attainment is a high school diploma or less, Bush is winning by 2 points. That makes for a 12-point gap.

If nothing else, it suggests that if Kerry wins it's a pretty sure bet he'll follow through on his promise to expand Pell Grants to make it easier for people to attend college.

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95 percent accurate
Over the last 25 presidential elections, Ventura County voters have backed the winner 24 times, or over 95 percent of the time. It is one of only a handful of counties in the nation that has been such a predictable bellwether.
about Timm Herdt
Timm Herdt
The Ventura County Star's Sacramento Bureau Chief Timm Herdt on state issues and politics from Sacramento to Ventura County. He can be contacted at therdt@vcstar.com
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