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With yesterday's official announcement by former eBay CEO Meg Whitman that she will be a candidate for the GOP nomination for governor, the 2010 campaign season in California began in earnest.

The announcement came less than two weeks before the state Republican Party convention, and ensures that talk of Whitman and Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner -- and whether either of them is the best choice -- will dominate the delegates' attention.

Poizner has locked up most of the establishment endorsements, including the majority of the state's GOP congressional delegation (Elton Gallegly is among his supporters) and most GOP legislators, including two who represent portions of Ventura County, Sen. George Runner and Assemblyman Cameron Smyth.

One who is not one the Poizner bandwagon is Sen. Tony Strickland of Moorpark, who is an enthusiastic Whitman backer.

Both candidates are Silicon Valley billionaires with the ability to largely self-fund their campaigns. But neither is likely to stir the passions of the conservative activists who populate these conventions. Additionally, the political environment may not be conducive next year for multimillionaire CEOs, given the populist outcry over excessive executive compensation in the financial industry.

The question remains whether there is a legitimate opportunity for a very conservative candidate to enter the field and to be competitive against two big-spenders. GOP strategist Richard Temple told me yesterday he believes it would take $8 million to $10 million for a conservative candidate just to position himself or herself to take advantage of possible meltdown of the top candidates. To wage a full-on competitive battle, he estimated, it might take $20 million.

Whenever two wealthy candidates get into a primary, there is always an opportunity for a third candidate to steal the nomination, because it sets up the possibility for a "murder-suicide" scenario in which the two wealthy candidates spend big money attacking the other. In 1998, that's what happened in the Democratic primary when underdog Gray Davis benefitted from the mutual destruction of Al Checchi and Jane Harman.

As noted here last week, there is an attempt among some Southern California conservatives to create some buzz for Ventura County Supervisor Peter Foy . It remains to be seen how serious those efforts are -- and whether Foy has the wherewithal to raise the many millions that would be needed to be anything but a small-time spoiler against two candidates with bottomless checkbooks.

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And what will another Republican have to offer but more Social Darwinism? Steve Poizner, Meg Whitman, they’re all clones. The problem with Right-wing ideology is that at its core lies the idea that it's morally acceptable to let poor people starve to death. This has always been the fundamental principle. Well, thanks, but no thanks. If you're not for the People, do society a favor and stay home.

Timm, is Campbell running for the GOP candidacy? Also, is Poizner impacted by the Bill Postmus scandal? And what about Whitman's recent registration to Republican?

Did anyone read that interview with Whitman in the LA Times today? She contradicts herself numerous times and seems confused on policy. She also explained why she just switched her registration.

She praises Wilson for his decisions, which included raising taxes, but she doesn't like the idea now.

My guess is that she has her own opinions on more than she let on but is being told to toe the GOP line on numerous issues.

Katie, from what I've read, Campbell is definitely looking to run. It's hard running against multi-millionaires who can self finance, though.

I like Campbell a lot. He's broken from the hardline "no new taxes" stance. Good for him.

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Home / / Minori e giustizia / Il minore sessualmente abusato /Capitolo IILa denuncia costituisce il primo passo necessario per avviare sia un intervento di tutela della vittima, sia un procedimento penale nei confronti del presunto colpevole. Quanti sostengono la validit di questo strumento sono convinti che chiunque rinunci a denunciare, magari adottando procedure pi informali di approccio alla famiglia abusante, corre il rischio di entrare a far parte della "patologia del segreto" (1).La denuncia dovrebbe essere fatta dalla persona cui il bambino ha raccontato per la prima volta dell'abuso subito; spesso, per l'estrema delicatezza e difficolt del procedimento penale per fatti di abuso sessuale crea sempre tra gli operatori sociali e coloro che stanno a contatto con i bambini (ad esempio le insegnanti) una forte riluttanza ad adire l'autorit penale.La presentazione della denuncia una decisione molto difficile, spesso subordinata ad una serie di condizioni: prima fra tutte, una sorta di delibazione preventiva dell'attendibilit del minore (giudizio che, invece, pu essere fatto solo al termine delle indagini e che di pertinenza esclusiva del magistrato penale) o, peggio ancora, una valutazione sull'esistenza di riscontri obiettivi o sulla dannosit del processo penale, o anche sull'esistenza del consenso alla denuncia da parte del minore.Tutte queste valutazioni sono fatte dall'operatore che si trova di fronte ad un caso sospetto di abuso. Si vengono cos a creare, fra notitia criminis e denuncia, una serie di filtri con l'unico risultato di ritardare l'inizio delle indagini (2).Una situazione di abuso sessuale pu emergere o in forma esplicita (rivelazione), quando il minore confida la propria situazione traumatica ad una persona a lui vicina, oppure in forma implicita (rilevazione), attraverso indicatori comportamentali.Pi in particolare si possono distinguere:casi in cui si manifesta una rivelazione "diretta" dell'abuso da parte del minore, nella quale cio lo stesso racconta al proprio interlocutore fatti che, se veri, costituiscono, senza dubbio, ipotesi di abuso sessuale nei suoi confronti;e casi in cui si ha una rivelazione "mascherata" con cui il minore non riferisce fatti di abuso, ma descrive situazioni che ordinariamente ne costituiscono la premessa, quali fatti di grave maltrattamento, comportamenti ambigui dell'adulto nei suoi confronti, ecc.Equiparabili a queste ultima situazioni sono quelle in cui il minore, senza raccontare esplicitamente fatti di abuso, tiene comportamenti che possono far sorgere il sospetto che ne sia vittima: ad esempio comportamenti erotizzati, incongrui rispetto all'et ed atti autolesionistici privi di comprensibile spiegazione. Queste sono le ipotesi di rivelazione.I casi a presentazione "diretta" solo in apparenza comportano un accertamento pi semplice. Infatti, si pone qui in tutta la sua complessit il problema della credibilit del minore che rivela l'abuso. Del resto, anche escludendo l'intenzione di mentire, quale pu essere l'attendibilit dei racconti di bambini piccoli, per loro natura imprecisi, senza parametri chiari su ci che o non semplice manifestazione d'affetto? Se vero che tipico del bambino confondere i tempi degli avvenimenti e mescolare sensazioni soggettive a dati oggettivi, come possibile per l'interlocutore farsi una chiara idea sui fatti? (3)D'altra parte, questo fenomeno di apparente confusione si verifica anche in bambini pi grandi o addirittura in adolescenti, soprattutto se gli episodi ricordati devono essere fatti risalire ad un passato non troppo recente e/o riguardano comportamenti dai connotati sfumati, come le molestie sessuali.Occorre ricordare che non sempre ci che rilevante e centrale per l'adulto lo altrettanto per un bambino e che ogni giudizio sulla credibilit di quest'ultimo deve tener conto di questa differenza di prospettiva (4).Dopo che il minore ha potuto raccontare un episodio ed stato aiutato a ricordarlo pi nitidamente, non infrequentemente ne rivela altri: ci non deve indurre sospetto e far pensare ad invenzioni del bambino. Probabilmente questi ulteriori ricordi riguardano fatti altrettanto reali, che solo a posteriori possono ritornare nella sua memoria ed essere riconosciuti da lui come episodi di abuso sessuale. Ci potr avvenire proprio grazie sia all'esperienza affettiva di essere creduti e oggetto di attenzione, sia a quella cognitiva di aver potuto tradurre in parole ed inquadrare con certezza un'esperienza tanto carica di emotivit conflittuale (5).I casi a presentazione "mascherata" sono molto pi frequenti di quanto si pensi e pongono, per di pi una serie di interrogativi: quanto lecito sospettare? Si possono, e in che termini, proporre accertamenti medici non richiesti, sapendo che una buona percentuale di essi si riveler inutile (6)?In questi casi acquista particolare rilievo la possibilit di valorizzare i dati che provengono da un'accurata valutazione sanitaria del soggetto che si presume abbia subito abuso sessuale (7). Di solito questo tipo di scoperta avviene perch qualche persona che sta a contatto con il minore nota dei comportamenti che lo "insospettiscono" e chiede che vengano fatti degli accertamenti medici (8).Premessa indispensabile che gli operatori sanitari "sospettino" che una delle possibili conclusioni del percorso diagnostico in campo ginecologico e/o pediatrico e/o psicologico possa essere proprio la diagnosi di abuso sessuale. Solo a partire da questa preoccupazione si aprir la possibilit di indagini appropriate, che saranno successivamente compito dello specifico operatore (9).L'acquisizione della notizia del reato apre la fase degli accertamenti che potranno portare se saranno riscontrati concreti elementi di prova al procedimento penale.La notitia criminis pu derivare o dalla ricezione, da parte del pubblico ministero o della polizia giudiziaria, della rivelazione del reato da parte della vittima o di terzi oppure da un'iniziativa diretta da parte di tali organi, comunque venuti a conoscenza del fatto od operanti per l'individuazione di fatti costituenti reato (10).Per i reati in cui le vittime sono minori sarebbe opportuno che si costituisse un nucleo di polizia specializzata in grado di effettuare indagini approfondite al fine di identificare situazioni in cui pi facile lo sfruttamento del soggetto in formazione. molto difficile che in questi casi vi sia una denuncia diretta, perch spesso l'ambiente in cui vive il minore insensibile ai suoi bisogni e, cos solo una vigilanza continua sul territorio da parte di organi di polizia, particolarmente attenti a questi aspetti della tutela della personalit del minore, potr far emergere il fenomeno. 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95 percent accurate
Over the last 25 presidential elections, Ventura County voters have backed the winner 24 times, or over 95 percent of the time. It is one of only a handful of counties in the nation that has been such a predictable bellwether.
about Timm Herdt
Timm Herdt
The Ventura County Star's Sacramento Bureau Chief Timm Herdt on state issues and politics from Sacramento to Ventura County. He can be contacted at therdt@vcstar.com
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