What is it that we're all supposed to do tomorrow?
CONVENTIONAL WISDOM SPEAKS: Scott Lay of the AroundtheCapitol.com website that tracks campaign financing and all things political in Sacramento today released the results of his election contest that surveyed 400 Sacramento political insiders for their predictions on Tuesday's outcomes in state races.
Lay says the respondents represent "an impressive and bipartisan group of California policy and political leaders." Still, given that he asked questions about dozens of different districts from every corner of the state, it's impossible to say how many respondents were just plain guessing or basing their predictions simply on voter-registration numbers and how many may have actually had some inside knowledge based on internal polling results.
All that said, here's what how the 400 respondents picked the outcome of Ventura County's two ultra-competitive contests:
27th Senate District: 90.6 percent picked incumbent Democrat Fran Pavley over Republican Todd Zink.
26th Congressional District: 65.1 percent picked Democrat Julia Brownley over Republican Tony Strickland.
There is one race in the state in which the conventional wisdom is split right down the middle. In the Sacramento area's 7th Congressional District, 50.4 percent of respondents picked Democrat Ami Bera, while 49.6 percent picked Republican incumbent Dan Lungren.
REGISTRATION CHANGES SINCE PRIMARY: Also from AroundtheCapitol.com, it published an analysis of district-by-district registration changes in political districts since May. As is usually the case, Democrats, who tend to move more frequently, gained the most voters across the board as the result of pre-presidential election registration activity.
Among the local districts, the most striking Democratic gains were in the 27th Senate District, where Democratic registration picked up by 9.7 percent compared to a 3.2 percent increase in registered Republicans -- a net 6.5 percent gain, or a 14,000-voter increase in the Democratic margin.
One of the smaller gains was in the 26th Congressional District -- a net 1.6 percent gain for Democrats.
ANOTHER CHRYSTAL BALL: I noted here Friday that the Rothenberg Report contunies to rate the 26th Congressional District as a "pure toss-up." The final rating of the University of Virginia's Larry Sabato, publisher of the noted congressional analysis called "Sabato's Cyrstal Ball," ranks both the 24th and 26th Congressional Districts as "leans Democrat."
THE SUPER PAC TALLY: As of today, total super PAC and other independent interest group spending in the 26th Congressional District is $4.2 million, the Center for Responsive Government reports. That ranks it 38th in the country.
A few places below that on the list is the 24th Congressional District, checking in at $3.3 million.