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Should Republicans concede 2014 governor's race?

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A lot of California Republicans have been lamenting the fact that no credible GOP candidate has yet emerged to run for governor next year in a race in which he or she would likely challenge Democrat Jerry Brown, who is expected to seek re-election.

But, longtime Democratic strategist Bob Mulholland told me yesterday, perhaps it is the Democrats who should be most concerned. If Republicans are unable to field a credible candidate, he mused, voter turnout in the 2014 election without a contested top-of-the-ticket race would likely be abysmal. And that would severely damage the chances of Democrats running for Congress and the Legislature across the state.

It may seem counterintuitive, but the theory makes sense. If Republicans essentially concede the governorship, it very well could create the kind of turnout model that could swing back into their column many of the down-ticket offices they lost last year in an election with a strong, Democrat-friendly turnout.

Thus far, only Assemblyman Tim Donnelly, a Tea Party favorite and founder of the Minuteman movement, has publicly expressed an interest in the GOP nomination for governor. While some mainstream Republicans worry that such a candidate would be a disaster for the party in California and result in many voters casting a straight party-line ballot for Democrats, it is also true that such a candidate would likely be unable to raise anywhere near the amount of money necessary to wage a visible campaign. In such a scenario, occasional voters might not see any reason to vote, and many might not even become aware that there is an election. With Barbara Boxer and Dianne Feinstein both in the middle of their six-year terms, there will be no U.S. Senate race in California next year.

It's likely that some Republicans have already figured this out. Former Sen. Jim Brulte, all but certain to be installed as state GOP chairman next month, has said that rebuilding the party will be a six-year effort. Perhaps that's just an expression of realistic expectations. But perhaps it's also an indication of a strategy that would involve using the 2014 election to try to start rebuilding from the bottom up, maneuvering to get into a position from which the GOP could make a credible run for the governor's office in 2018.

What could Democrats do to defend themselves against such a possibility? Turn to ballot propositions to drive voter turnout.

Efforts are already under way to qualify an initiative that would increase tobacco taxes and devote the revenue to higher education -- an effort that, if successful, would likely rally college students to turn out as they did last year in support of Proposition 30. Beyond that, Democrats in the Legislature could use their supermajority to place other measures on next year's ballot that might have strong appeal to other Democratic-leaning voter groups. Perhaps one seeking an increase in the minimum wage? Perhaps political reforms?

In this off year in California politics, there are some interesting strategic decisions to be made about 2014.

SMYTH FORMS COMMITTEE: Former GOP Assemblyman Cameron Smyth this week opened a Senate campaign committee for 2016, but that means less than it might suggest.

Smyth ruled out a run for Senate last year in which he could have challenged incumbent Democrat Fran Pavley, but he said at the time he wasn't foreclosing the possibility of running for elected office again at some future time. The 27th Senate District could be more appealing in 2016, because with Pavley termed out it will become an open seat.

Smyth told me this morning he formed the committee because still had money in his Assembly campaign account that needed to be parked somewhere, so he opened the new committee and transferred the balance into it. He said he has no intention at this point of using the committee for any active fund-raising.

He said his thinking remains the same as last year -- he's happy working in the private sector, enjoying coaching his kids' soccer team, but not ruling out a return to the political arena at some point. Maybe for Senate in 2016, and maybe not.


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Should Republicans concede 2014 governor's race? - 95 percent accurate

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I've been using {Movable-type|WordPress} on {a number
of|a variety of|numerous|several|various} websites for about a year and am {nervous|anxious|worried|concerned} about switching
to another platform. I have heard {fantastic|very good|excellent|great|good} things about blogengine.net.
Is there a way I can {transfer|import} all my wordpress {content|posts} into it?
{Any kind of|Any} help would be {really|greatly} appreciated!|
{Hello|Hi|Hello there|Hi there|Howdy|Good day}! I could have sworn I've {been to|visited} {this blog|this web
site|this website|this site|your blog} before but after {browsing
through|going through|looking at} {some of the|a few of the|many
of the} {posts|articles} I realized it's new to me.
{Anyways|Anyhow|Nonetheless|Regardless}, I'm {definitely|certainly} {happy|pleased|delighted} {I found|I discovered|I came across|I stumbled upon} it and I'll be {bookmarking|book-marking} it and checking back {frequently|regularly|often}!|
{Terrific|Great|Wonderful} {article|work}! {This is|That is} {the type of|the kind of} {information|info} {that are meant to|that are supposed to|that
should} be shared {around the|across the} {web|internet|net}.
{Disgrace|Shame} on {the {seek|search} engines|Google} for {now not|not|no longer} positioning this {post|submit|publish|put up} {upper|higher}!

Come on over and {talk over with|discuss with|seek advice from|visit|consult with} my {site|web site|website} .
{Thank you|Thanks} =)|
Heya {i'm|i am} for the first time here. I {came across|found} this board and I find It {truly|really} useful
& it helped me out {a lot|much}. I hope to give something back and {help|aid}
others like you {helped|aided} me.|
{Hi|Hello|Hi there|Hello there|Howdy|Greetings}, {I think|I believe|I do believe|I do think|There's no doubt
that} {your site|your website|your web site|your blog} {might
be|may be|could be|could possibly be} having {browser|internet
browser|web browser} compatibility {issues|problems}. {When
I|Whenever I} {look at your|take a look at your} {website|web site|site|blog} in Safari,
it looks fine {but when|however when|however, if|however, when} opening in {Internet Explorer|IE|I.E.}, {it has|it's got} some overlapping issues.
{I just|I simply|I merely} wanted to {give you a|provide you with a} quick heads up!

{Other than that|Apart from that|Besides that|Aside from that}, {fantastic|wonderful|great|excellent} {blog|website|site}!|
{A person|Someone|Somebody} {necessarily|essentially} {lend a hand|help|assist} to make {seriously|critically|significantly|severely} {articles|posts} {I would|I might|I'd}
state. {This is|That is} the {first|very first} time I
frequented your {web page|website page} and {to this point|so far|thus far|up to
now}? I {amazed|surprised} with the {research|analysis} you made to {create|make} {this actual|this
particular} {post|submit|publish|put up} {incredible|amazing|extraordinary}.

{Great|Wonderful|Fantastic|Magnificent|Excellent} {task|process|activity|job}!|
Heya {i'm|i am} for {the primary|the first} time here.
I {came across|found} this board and I {in finding|find|to find} It {truly|really} {useful|helpful} & it helped me out
{a lot|much}. {I am hoping|I hope|I'm hoping} {to give|to offer|to provide|to present} {something|one thing} {back|again} and {help|aid}
others {like you|such as you} {helped|aided} me.|
{Hello|Hi|Hello there|Hi there|Howdy|Good day|Hey there}!
{I just|I simply} {would like to|want to|wish to} {give you a|offer you
a} {huge|big} thumbs up {for the|for your} {great|excellent} {info|information} {you have|you've got|you have
got} {here|right here} on this post. {I will be|I'll be|I am} {coming back to|returning to} {your blog|your site|your website|your web site} for more soon.|
I {always|all the time|every time} used to {read|study} {article|post|piece
of writing|paragraph} in news papers but now as I am a user of {internet|web|net} {so|thus|therefore} from now
I am using net for {articles|posts|articles or reviews|content}, thanks to web.|
Your {way|method|means|mode} of {describing|explaining|telling} {everything|all|the
whole thing} in this {article|post|piece of writing|paragraph} is
{really|actually|in fact|truly|genuinely} {nice|pleasant|good|fastidious}, {all|every one} {can|be able to|be capable of} {easily|without difficulty|effortlessly|simply} {understand|know|be aware of} it, Thanks a lot.|
{Hi|Hello} there, {I found|I discovered} your {blog|website|web site|site} {by means of|via|by
the use of|by way of} Google {at the same time as|whilst|even as|while} {searching
for|looking for} a {similar|comparable|related} {topic|matter|subject}, your {site|web site|website} {got here|came} up, it {looks|appears|seems|seems to be|appears to be like} {good|great}.
{I have|I've} bookmarked it in my google bookmarks.
{Hello|Hi} there, {simply|just} {turned into|became|was|become|changed into} {aware of|alert to} your {blog|weblog} {thru|through|via} Google,
{and found|and located} that {it is|it's} {really|truly} informative.

{I'm|I am} {gonna|going to} {watch out|be careful} for brussels.

{I will|I'll} {appreciate|be grateful} {if you|should you|when you|in the event you|in case you|for those
who|if you happen to} {continue|proceed} this {in future}.
{A lot of|Lots of|Many|Numerous} {other folks|folks|other people|people} {will be|shall be|might be|will probably be|can be|will likely be} benefited {from your|out of your} writing.
Cheers!|
{I am|I'm} curious to find out what blog {system|platform}
{you have been|you happen to be|you are|you're} {working with|utilizing|using}?
I'm {experiencing|having} some {minor|small} security {problems|issues}
with my latest {site|website|blog} and {I would|I'd} like to find something more {safe|risk-free|safeguarded|secure}.

Do you have any {solutions|suggestions|recommendations}?|
{I am|I'm} {extremely|really} impressed with your writing skills {and also|as well as} with the layout
on your {blog|weblog}. Is this a paid theme or did you {customize|modify} it
yourself? {Either way|Anyway} keep up the
{nice|excellent} quality writing, {it's|it is} rare
to see a {nice|great} blog like this one {these days|nowadays|today}.|
{I am|I'm} {extremely|really} {inspired|impressed} {with
your|together with your|along with your} writing
{talents|skills|abilities} {and also|as {smartly|well|neatly} as} with the {layout|format|structure} {for your|on your|in your|to your} {blog|weblog}.
{Is this|Is that this} a paid {subject|topic|subject matter|theme}
or did you {customize|modify} it {yourself|your self}?
{Either way|Anyway} {stay|keep} up the {nice|excellent} {quality|high quality} writing, {it's|it is} {rare|uncommon} {to peer|to see|to look} a {nice|great} {blog|weblog} like this one {these days|nowadays|today}..|
{Hi|Hello}, Neat post. {There is|There's} {a problem|an
issue} {with your|together with your|along with your} {site|web site|website}
in {internet|web} explorer, {may|might|could|would} {check|test} this?
IE {still|nonetheless} is the {marketplace|market} {leader|chief} and
{a large|a good|a big|a huge} {part of|section of|component to|portion of|component of|element of} {other folks|folks|other people|people}
will {leave out|omit|miss|pass over} your {great|wonderful|fantastic|magnificent|excellent} writing {due to|because of}
this problem.|
{I'm|I am} not sure where {you are|you're} getting your {info|information}, but {good|great}
topic. I needs to spend some time learning {more|much more} or understanding more.

Thanks for {great|wonderful|fantastic|magnificent|excellent} {information|info} I was looking for this {information|info} for my mission.|
{Hi|Hello}, i think that i saw you visited my {blog|weblog|website|web site|site} {so|thus} i came to “return the favor”.{I am|I'm} {trying to|attempting to} find things to {improve|enhance} my
{website|site|web site}!I suppose its ok to use {some of|a few of} your ideas!!\

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95 percent accurate
Over the last 25 presidential elections, Ventura County voters have backed the winner 24 times, or over 95 percent of the time. It is one of only a handful of counties in the nation that has been such a predictable bellwether.
about Timm Herdt
Timm Herdt
The Ventura County Star's Sacramento Bureau Chief Timm Herdt on state issues and politics from Sacramento to Ventura County. He can be contacted at therdt@vcstar.com
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