If you are not redirected automatically, follow at http://95percent.blogs.vcstar.com/

An eventful weekend; Dagnesses' report

Share: Share on Facebook submit to reddit StumbleUpon Toolbar

Monday morning reflections after a Friday night bombshell...

A WHOLE NEW DYNAMIC -- Friday evening's announcement by Ventura County Community College District Trustee Bernardo Perez that he had decided to drop out of the 44th Assembly District race has substantial implications for the upcoming primary season in Ventura County.

Perez had been the choice of many progressive Democrats and the preferred candidate of several west county activists, especially Latinos. Because Oxnard had been rendered largely irrelevant by the redistricting scheme of 2001, Latino activists had hoped that the 2011 plan, which increased Oxnard's clout in both legislative and congressional races, might at last pave the way for a Latino candidate to become competitive. In addition, resentment is strong that Thousand Oaks City Councilwoman Jacqui Irwin -- the sole remaining Democrat -- had endorsed former Rep. Elton Gallegly for re-election. They consider that a personal insult to the Latino community because of Gallegly's strong anti-immigrant positions.

Perez' departure would appear to clear to the way for Irwin at a critical time. The Democrats' AD 44 endorsement caucus is Sunday.

Over the weekend, former congressional candidate David Cruz Thayne sent a strong message that he is now considering entering the race. Eary Sunday afternoon, he tweeted: "Real Democrats are begging me to stop GOP Jacqui, I might!"

Even if Thayne follows through, his timing his problematic. In order to be considered for the party endorsement this week, candidates were required to have submitted a registration form and filing fee to the state Democratic Party by 5 p.m. last Friday.

From the perspective of Republicans, the prospect of having Democrats united behind a single candidate during the primary must be disconcerting, especially since there remain three declared GOP candidates. If both Sean Paroski and Port Hueneme City Councilwoman Sylvia Munoz Schnopp remain in the race, there is a chance that they could split the vote among establishment Republican voters and strengthen the hand of Pastor Rob McCoy of Newbury Park, a conservative who is well connected with the tea party wing of the party.

While it would appear to be an uphill challenge for Democrats to capture that seat during a nonpresidential year, their prospect might be enhanced if the general election contest pitted a moderate Democrat from the Republican heart of the district (Irwin) against a tea party conservative.

Perez, by the way, was gracious and gentlemanly when I spoke to him late Friday. He seemed genuinely grateful for all that he had learned during his brief candidacy, and told me that he came out of the experience "re-energized" to carry on his long record of community and civic activism. He also noted that there may be future political opportunities that he will now be better prepared to seize. There was none of the sour-grapes mentality one typically hears from candidates' whose original hopes had been dashed.

DAGNESSES REPORT -- We now have a clue to the one of the most intriguing remaining questions concerning the upcoming 26th Congressional District primary: How much of a threat to Assemblyman Jeff Gorell will the candidacy of fellow Republican Rafael Dagnesses of Simi Valley pose?

As of late Friday, Dagnesses' campaign finance report was unavailable on the FEC website. He filed on paper, rather than electronically. It appears that his report could not be easily retrieved because, in entering the report electronically, an FEC employee had misspelled his name.

An alert reader tracked it down for me over the weekend. It shows that Dagnesses raised $35,790 during the fourth quarter of last year and began 2014 with $24,521 in the bank. His receipts incuded a $15,000 loan he made to his own campaign.

It represents a modest start, and it remains to be seen whether he will be able to raise enough money to wage a mail campaign in the primary that would force Gorell to spend a chunk of his resources during the primary season. The Republican National Congressional Committee apparently is not taking the primary for granted: It sponsored a robopoll within the last couple weeks in which it included Dagnesses in weighing voters' perceptions of the candidates.

IRWIN CLARIFICATION -- On Friday, I reported that Irwin had contributed $10,000 to her campaign in December and that a late contribution report filed last week indicated that a second $10,000 contribution had been made.

Irwin tells me that second report simply was filed because for accounting reasons. She intended the original $10,000 contribution to be a loan. Apparently the campaign returned the $10,000 contribution, and then reclassified the contribution as a loan. Bottom line: Irwin has put up only $10,000 of her own money for her campaign, and it is in the form of a loan.

BIG SPENDER, LITTLE SPENDER -- One detail that often goes unnoticed in these campaign finance reports is the amount of expenditures made by candidates. They can vary wildly. For instance, Democrat Lee Rogers in the 25th Congressional District reported raising $93,940 during the fourth quarter, but he also spent $86,686 -- mostly on consulting and fundraising fees. To some degree, it appears he is front-loading some of his campaign costs, such as establishing a decent website.

On the other end of the spectrum was Republican Sen. Steve Knight, who entered the race in December and even then, conditionally so. He said he intended to run only if Rep. Howard "Buck" McKeon decided to retire at the end of this term. He also promised to return money to donors if McKeon chose to seek re-election.

Under those conditions, Knight raised $21,888. And how much did he spend? All of 187 dollars.

WATCHING THOSE FRACKING RULES -- Friday was also the day that lobbying groups had to report fourth quarter expenditures, and the Capitol Morning Report this morning lists the top ten spenders. Interesting that, at a time when the state Department of Conservation is putting together its regulations to implement Sen. Fran Pavley's bill to regulate fracking, that two of the top three spenders were the Western States Petroleum Association (No. 1, at $4.7 million) and Chevron Corp. (No. 3, at $4 million.).


No TrackBacks

TrackBack URL: http://blogs.venturacountystar.com/cgi-bin/mt/mt-tb.cgi/45442

44 Comments

I’d need to talk to you here. Which isn’t something Which i do! I really like to reading a post that ought to get men and women to feel. Also, thank you for allowing me to comment!
mens toms sale uk http://idiotsbooks.com/db/mens-toms-sale-uk.html

I had this content bookmarked a while before but my notebook crashed. I have since gotten a new one and it took me a while to find this! I also really like the design though.
barbour jackets usa http://www.armada-online.com/includes/barbour-jackets-usa.html

News-- watch Will Play A Critical role In Any Management

Thank You for the greet article, I love reading it!
michael kors black crystal watch http://www.southsideartcenter.com/db/michael-kors-black-crystal-watch.html

I found this an informative and interesting article. I think it is very readable and knowledgeable, happy to see some people still have interest in this. I would like to thank you for the work you have made in writing this article. I am wish the same best work from you in the future as well kind regards
buy michael kors handbags http://www.crystalplasticsurgeons.com/includes/buy-michael-kors-handbags.html

That is a great post, i enjoy reading the information on this blog.
dr dre beats refurbished http://www.vilmatech.com/db/dr-dre-beats-refurbished.html

For anybody who is interested in enviromentally friendly things, may possibly possibly surprise for you the crooks to maintain in mind that and earn under a holder just because kind dissolved acquire various liters to important oil to make. everyday deal livingsocial discount baltimore washington
inexpensive michael kors watches http://www.crystalplasticsurgeons.com/includes/inexpensive-michael-kors-watches.html

Lose weight, create healthy diet plans and workout plansCLICK HERE
coach trifold wallet http://www.rhstemphousing.com/coach/coach-trifold-wallet.html

Great stuff.Id like to suggest taking a look at such as something like cheeseburger. What exactly are you looking for though?
authenticity of louis vuitton http://www.rights.com/db/authenticity-of-louis-vuitton.html

Great text. I like your web design also. continue your good work.
louis vuitton sweaters for men http://www.rights.com/db/louis-vuitton-sweaters-for-men.html

If you love comfort and ease next the could be the 4400.pink2.net for yourself! My partner and i applied these types of for roughly 1 year which are outstanding! The only real negative thing is anytime your oouple circumstances getting these people in which beginning of slump over and this is not going to get them to be loook when fascinating. If you do not desire them to be able to slouch, I'd personally reccomend providing lean trousers which were concise not to mention tight-ish around the leg. Having said that i found along with the lower Ugss, they just do not stoop. My partner and i prefer to for instance the simple 4400.pink2.net much better.

An eventful weekend; Dagnesses' report - 95 percent accurate

fantastic issues altogether, you just gained a new reader. What could you recommend about your post that you made some days within the past? Any positive?
cheap authentic coach handbags http://www.torontopoetryslam.com/db/cheap-authentic-coach-handbags.html

Hot men Book Divulges Ideas On How To Rule The men Marketplace

Thank you for your post, and i suppose it helps me a lot.
michael kors in delhi http://www.psp.edu/db/michael-kors-in-delhi.html

Insspiriոg story there. What occurred after? Takke care!

continue with the the nice work on the site. Do like it! :p Could use some more frequent updates, but i am sure you got some better things to do like we all do.
tory burch gold flats http://stevenringlermd.com/db/tory-burch-gold-flats.html

Excеllent blog! Do you have any гecommеnԁations for aspiring wrіters?
I'm hoping too start my own website ѕoon but I'm a little lost oon
everything. Would you propose starting with a fгee platform likе Wordpгess oor go for a paid option?
There are so many сhoices օut there that I'm totally confused ..
Aոy tips? Many thanҟs!

We offer the most effective practical and most applicable solutions. All our Sydney plumbers are experienced and qualified and are able to speedily assess your difficulty and locate the very best answer.
michael kors fall 2008 http://www.acediscgolf.com/db/michael-kors-fall-2008.html

Some truly good and utilitarian info on this internet web site , besides I think the layout holds wonderful features.
coach designer bags http://www.rhstemphousing.com/coach/coach-designer-bags.html

Generally I do not read post on blogs, nonetheless I would like to say that this write-up really forced me to have a look at and do so! Your writing taste has been surprised me. Thank you, quite fantastic post.
mulberry keyring http://www.hurricane.com/db/mulberry-keyring.html

This internet website could be a walk-through for all with the details you wanted in regards to this and didn’t know who to question. Glimpse here, and you’ll surely discover it.
coach heels for women http://www.torontopoetryslam.com/db/coach-heels-for-women.html

Ѵery gopd article! We are linкing to thіs great article onn οսur
website. Keep up the good writing.

An excellent covered detector is definitely Ystatus. net. New features will be extra rapidly.

For the most part On the web merely planning to use it for producing post however, there are actually surely buy and sell offs but I will nevertheless be saving for the idea. Cost is probably the most hard to acknowledge for me personally.
. -= Tini | Inzone Internet's continue site... The reason I KeywordLuv =-.

do they offer a a kind of detector wherein my conversation partner will not are aware that my partner and i used camera recorder? merely by ensuring in this article.

We are the just a passer-by. ALRIGHT, Leave any one thing within your site just for your own personal return pay a visit to.

itssss brilliant forms......... least difficult.......!!!! thanks a lot a whole lot to get expressing as well as economizing everyone’s time period........ thanks I would like to be aware of 80g the 2010 season. Once we can estimate 80G with polyurethane foam not any 16 not really I had considering some sort of Metro-only tablet with a splash Xbox 360 system integration, I like the particular porcelain tile program, but I use not any curiosity about Microsoft windows being a personal computer OPERATING SYSTEM anymore. Lots of worms, spy ware, collisions, way too many complications. The actual Apple pc is actually a outstanding desktop computer OS IN THIS HANDSET with no crashes and also troubles, but the ipad device in my experience looks like a plaything nonetheless and it's impossible to get severe work on there aside from reading and writing a couple of limited emails. My spouse and i believe this can be a limitation for you to drugs, but Microsof company can be an workplace output company next time anybody can pull off any rewarding tablet its them.

I just got often the PDF/ePub online type yesterday... the particular PDF has a inherent hyperlink in which takes you to some obtain page for all your video clip articles.

i really now special 4 pairs to do with 2260.pink2.net. we've needed my very own game titles because September and in addition our bailey's given that September simultaneously. My partner and i attract these individuals made the effort, just each day. My partner and i addressed items red classics aided by the mineral water repellency we deliver individuals out in the actual glaciers quickly and easily surely. I could simply understand all hurt because their black and white, anyhow, it may well definitely provide the r2260.pink2.neted design. They are also actually when supple and even pleasing due to the fact were found to be by day one which can be alarming for me, basically because very often find them over to a vast selection. Exceptional own, absolutely yes luxurious, yet unfortunately Therefore worth purchasing. All my acquaintances are undoubtedly green with envy about the fog up enjoy think and therefore i check graceful in the event that i truly match these people to sweat dockers solely around the house!

2824.pink2.net are a superb order.....came in time, and also there weren't any issues. Would structure ever again.

one Inside "about" menus, the idea says this model is definitely four. installment payments on your 6th (8E200) in case that will help.

ZERO My spouse and i havent tested the item still, although chip extends Glass windows Hard drive Storage space intended for their vSphere chaos consequently sick and tired be sure to speak about the idea in order to the pup with regard to if he attempts to up grade. You will tell you our own mileage Do anyone ever previously produce WSS iSCSI concentrate on work together with ESXi a few. 0 Haven’t tried... do they offer a well-known concern? We prefer to update any fellow workers area thurs . night as well as is using WSS while his / her SAN

You have brought up a extremely great points , thankyou for the post.
michael kors snakeskin wallet http://www.brodyandcole.com/db/michael-kors-snakeskin-wallet.html

Some genuinely nice and useful information on this web site , besides I feel the style contains amazing attributes.
michael kors satchel sale http://www.peoplefirstca.org/mk/michael-kors-satchel-sale.html

Your talent is really appreciated!! Thank you. You saved me a lot of frustration. I switched from Joomla to Drupal to the WordPress platform and Ive fully embraced WordPress. Its so much easier and easier to tweak. Anyway, thanks again. Awesome domain!
michael kors original handbags wholesale http://www.peoplefirstca.org/mk/michael-kors-original-handbags-wholesale.html

I genuinely enjoy your internet page, even so I’m having a difficulty: anytime I load one of your post in Safari, the correct of the webpage is screwed - it is strange. May I mail you a screenshot? Anyways, continue your very good job; I truly appreciate reading you.
michael kors outlet dallas http://www.brodyandcole.com/db/michael-kors-outlet-dallas.html

This is an email message most of us gotten just simply this week:

Mr. Nesson

TERENCE SMITH: Leah, you said that the preponderant opinion is opposed to military intervention at your school, at your campus. Is it gathering momentum in terms of attention to the subject and interest in it?

This really is sensible info! Exactly where else will if ind out much more?? Who runs this joint too? sustain the good work
michael kors outlet mall http://www.talkabouttennis.com/db/michael-kors-outlet-mall.html

William M. EST November 7, 2012

"As the eulogist, you have to offer some words of comfort where you can or make some sense of the person's passing," Cermatori said. "I don't really don't know how much sense there is to me."The couple were both attorneys. Jamie Schare Friedland was unharmed in the attack.

Has been afraid tvxrt.pink2.net will make the your feet at the same time very hot, yet tvxrt.pink2.net couldn't.

684048.pink2.net used to be a birthday present for my best granddaughter's Fourteenth wedding...your sweetheart harvested the kind. The websites informed this 684048.pink2.net managed in terms of a measurement major, thus directed a fabulous measurements Some...it absolutely was perfect...

Leave a comment

95 percent accurate
Over the last 25 presidential elections, Ventura County voters have backed the winner 24 times, or over 95 percent of the time. It is one of only a handful of counties in the nation that has been such a predictable bellwether.
about Timm Herdt
Timm Herdt
The Ventura County Star's Sacramento Bureau Chief Timm Herdt on state issues and politics from Sacramento to Ventura County. He can be contacted at therdt@vcstar.com
Links
  • 684048.pink2.net: 684048.pink2.net used to be a birthday present for my best read more
  • tvxrt.pink2.net: Has been afraid tvxrt.pink2.net will make the your feet at read more
  • toms on sale women: "As the eulogist, you have to offer some words of read more
  • fendi belt: William M. EST November 7, 2012 read more
  • michael kors outlet mall: This really is sensible info! Exactly where else will if read more
  • hogan uomo online: TERENCE SMITH: Leah, you said that the preponderant opinion is read more
  • Louboutin Femme: This is an email message most of us gotten just read more
  • michael kors outlet dallas: I genuinely enjoy your internet page, even so I’m having read more
  • michael kors original handbags wholesale: Your talent is really appreciated!! Thank you. You saved me read more
  • michael kors satchel sale: Some genuinely nice and useful information on this web site read more